Have a story idea
Have a story idea? Send it to us here.
Source : Federal Reserve Board Meeting, Wikimedia
September 25, 2024
Author : Patty Allen and Alex Bustillos
The Federal Reserve has cut its key interest rate for the first time in over four years, lowering it by 0.5 percentage points to a range of 4.75% to 5%.
This move, which caught some analysts off guard with its size, is a relief to many Americans who have been struggling with high borrowing costs. For small business owners like Jennifer Heasley in Pennsylvania, who has been facing rising monthly payments on her credit cards, this rate cut brings hope for more manageable costs in the future.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell explained that the decision was aimed at easing borrowing costs while maintaining the strength of the labor market. Despite a slowdown in hiring and rising unemployment, the central bank’s goal is to prevent high interest rates from choking economic growth. “The labor market is in a strong place- we want to keep it there,” Powell said.
The impact of this rate cut will likely be felt across several sectors, but it’s the construction industry that could see some positive changes down the road. Construction executives welcomed the decision, anticipating that lower borrowing costs will lead to more project starts in the coming months. John Sullivan, head of the U.S. real estate practice at DLA Piper, explained that if rates continue to fall, this could lead to increased real estate investment and more construction activity by the end of the year and into 2025.
However, construction industry leaders cautioned that while lower rates are a good sign, the effects won’t be immediate. Cory Moore, CEO of Big-D Construction, pointed out that the industry operates on long project cycles, meaning it will take time for the rate cut to trickle down into new construction projects. “The interest rate cut is generally good news,” Moore said, “but to really make financing attractive, loan-to-value ratios will need to improve alongside the rate cut.”
Even with the excitement surrounding the lower rates, there are other challenges the construction industry will face. Material costs and labor shortages remain significant concerns. Anthony Johnson, president of the industrial business unit at Clayco, noted that demand for skilled labor and resources has already stretched the industry thin, especially in sectors like data centers and manufacturing, which have continued to grow despite higher interest rates.
Despite these challenges, optimism remains. Many developers are already adding projects to their planning queues, preparing for what they hope will be stronger market conditions in 2025. The Dodge Momentum Index, a key indicator of nonresidential construction planning, ticked up in August, reflecting a rise in confidence.
While the full effects of the Federal Reserve’s rate cut will take time to materialize, construction executives agree it’s a step in the right direction. Lower rates make many projects more financially viable, and as borrowing costs continue to drop, the outlook for real estate investment and construction activity becomes more positive. But as Sullivan put it, “Lower interest rates are not a panacea, but they make many projects more economic and can drive positive sentiment in the market.”
Category : Federal Government Market Watch Treasury Department